Saturday, August 14, 2004

AGVA

Annonced 1HFY04 results, very disappointing to due increasing raw material costs because of high oil price.

To hold until annoncement of 2HFY04 results to assess the revenue growth.

- Expected revenue to growth from:
1. USA - new market which was described as huger potential
2. Japan - continue trend
3. Europe - moderate growth
4. China - due to acquisition of China sub. in 1 June 04 with huge distribution network

- Management ability to contain cost and improve margin of 1HFY04

- Operating cashflow should continue to be positive, although the company paid S$3.28M for a buidling in Aug04

- Continue dividend declaration amid lower amount

Initial investment merits - Thoughts

- make use of low manufacturing costs in China to produce for OEM worldwide

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